Browse live theses from the public API, filter by family or direction, follow the evidence behind every call, and pivot into your saved watchlist when you want a tighter research queue.
Filter by thesis family, direction, regime dependency, or confidence level.
The claim bundle indicates that Federal Reserve Bank of Chicago President Austan Goolsbee believes inflation is getting worse, not stalling, while the job market remains stable. This suggests a bearish outlook on inflation, despite the neutral stance on the labor market.
High confidence
The claim bundle indicates that the US has struck military targets in Iran following an attack on Navy destroyers in the Strait of Hormuz, escalating tensions in the region. This development suggests a bearish outlook for geopolitical stability as the US attempts to exit a prolonged conflict.
High confidence
The claim bundle indicates that the United Arab Emirates' decision to leave OPEC, coupled with the global oil industry's struggle with a massive supply disruption caused by the Iran war, presents a bearish outlook for the commodity market. This development suggests that the oil market may face significant challenges in maintaining stability and influencing oil prices.
High confidence
The claim bundle indicates that Spotify Technology SA shares experienced a substantial decline due to the company's underperformance in operating income and subscriber growth forecasts for the second quarter, which missed analysts' estimates.
High confidence
The claim bundle indicates a significant drop in the University of Michigan's final April sentiment index, which fell to 49.8 from 53.3 in March. This decline marks the lowest level recorded since data collection began in 1978, suggesting a bearish outlook on consumer sentiment and potential economic caution.
High confidence
The claim bundle indicates that New Orleans is facing a severe financial crisis, leading S&P Global Ratings to downgrade the city's credit rating by one notch. This downgrade reflects the city's deteriorating financial health and increased credit risk.
High confidence
The claim bundle indicates that US inflation surged in March by the most in nearly four years, with the consumer price index rising 0.9% from February. Additionally, the war with Iran has sent gasoline prices skyrocketing, contributing to bearish market sentiment due to both inflation and geopolitical risks.
High confidence
The claim bundle argues that ECB Chief Christine Lagarde considers stablecoins riskier for the European economy compared to the digital euro CBDC. She believes stablecoins pose financial stability risks due to potential failure cascades and weakening of monetary policy, and argues that only central bank money can be trusted.
High confidence