Browse live theses from the public API, filter by family or direction, follow the evidence behind every call, and pivot into your saved watchlist when you want a tighter research queue.
Filter by thesis family, direction, regime dependency, or confidence level.
The claim bundle indicates that China's economy has shown stronger-than-expected growth in the first quarter of 2026, despite the limited impact of the war in Iran on its economy. This suggests a bullish outlook for China's economic growth, although consumer spending remains weak.
High confidence
The claim bundle suggests that the acceleration in loan growth and a potential shift towards more aggressive lending by banks could support equity markets. Erik's observations indicate a top-down tone shift towards growth, with banks like Barclays and Unicredit setting more aggressive lending targets.
High confidence
The claim bundle indicates that a potential global energy crisis and ongoing geopolitical tensions, particularly in the Middle East, could pose significant risks to equity markets. Rupert's concerns about the Hormuz crisis and its impact on the global economy suggest a bearish outlook until these issues are resolved.
High confidence
The claim bundle suggests that the potential replacement of Fed Chair Jerome Powell by Kevin Warsh, nominated by President Donald Trump, would face significant challenges in gaining the acceptance and confidence of the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) members. This situation introduces a neutral outlook on the geopolitical situation, as it highlights the internal dynamics and potential resistance within the FOMC to a change in leadership.
High confidence
The claim bundle suggests that TSMC is expected to report strong revenue growth, driven by long-term demand in the AI trade. Despite capacity constraints creating headwinds, the overall outlook remains bullish due to the sustained demand for TSMC's products.
High confidence
The claim bundle suggests that a wafer-fab equipment super cycle is taking shape, driven by surging memory demand and large orders from major companies like SK Hynix, Micron, and Samsung. Despite near-term noise and export concerns, the long-term outlook for ASML remains positive due to the essential role of EUV machines in the next phase of AI infrastructure buildout.
High confidence
The claim bundle suggests a bullish outlook for big tech and cybersecurity stocks. Lisa Schreiber identifies Broadcom (AVGO), Alphabet (GOOGL), and Palo Alto Networks (PANW) as stocks to watch, highlighting their potential for growth. Additionally, Meta Platforms (META) is noted to have significant room for rebound in its AI efficiency push.
High confidence
The claim bundle suggests that fluctuations in energy prices are negatively affecting the confidence of homebuilders. This indicates a bearish outlook for the real estate sector, particularly in relation to energy costs.
High confidence